Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.882844 4.623191 5.447151 6.429376 7.565449 8.835141 10.358467
2025-10-12 2.892421 3.864348 5.056423 6.614380 8.583700 10.975973 14.086011
2025-10-19 2.318937 3.407948 4.853907 6.887887 9.643999 13.213225 18.142826
2025-10-26 1.847590 2.954651 4.530408 6.891890 10.285707 14.921351 21.650181
2025-11-02 1.445908 2.502009 4.104888 6.649364 10.503998 16.022821 24.388891
2025-11-09 1.150107 2.142698 3.741541 6.416720 10.666485 17.011502 27.004979
2025-11-16 0.969558 1.931147 3.564879 6.428674 11.170888 18.512453 30.460651
2025-11-23 0.826333 1.753843 3.410878 6.444213 11.662979 20.013964 34.014101
2025-11-30 0.699220 1.579557 3.231114 6.383204 12.007439 21.292622 37.297561
2025-12-07 0.565850 1.364672 2.941409 6.082536 11.898793 21.808135 39.370957
2025-12-14 0.484499 1.239997 2.801009 6.031872 12.213082 23.038345 42.694169
2025-12-21 0.418089 1.133788 2.679368 5.997309 12.544935 24.313070 46.169785
2025-12-28 0.394520 1.123829 2.758601 6.376854 13.703062 27.154871 52.606200
2026-01-04 0.357621 1.074140 2.745499 6.566438 14.515153 29.439650 58.227439
2026-01-11 0.330815 1.044300 2.771504 6.840030 15.516472 32.142649 64.779357
2026-01-18 0.290192 0.968459 2.679421 6.844559 15.971106 33.850970 69.619150
2026-01-25 0.242006 0.859417 2.489500 6.603672 15.888477 34.518753 72.554672
2026-02-01 0.202014 0.763583 2.315006 6.372495 15.797253 35.152685 75.453794
2026-02-08 0.178536 0.712595 2.247028 6.384389 16.233373 36.861240 80.528562
2026-02-15 0.158213 0.666473 2.184148 6.399838 16.676509 38.611076 85.787321
2026-02-22 0.137872 0.614548 2.096026 6.339203 16.937383 39.997853 90.399891
2026-03-01 0.113163 0.539037 1.925739 6.040377 16.607643 40.110429 92.424453
2026-03-08 0.098890 0.498560 1.852282 5.990026 16.866033 41.498844 97.159117